BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

E Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 255 Overall: (15-18) Overall Strength =   21.73
Conference: Ohio Valley Record: (11-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (15-16)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Away    L    16.31  72  77    1 280 (  7- 23) IUPUI                  -5.42      0.42                      
  2 11-09-2023 Away    L     9.42  43  96    1  12 ( 26-  6) Indiana               -12.31 *  -40.69                      
  3 11-12-2023 Home    W    28.16  75  62    1 292 (  5- 25) Valparaiso              6.43      6.57                      
  4 11-24-2023 Neutral L    10.21  55  63    1 287 ( 14- 18) Nicholls St           -11.51      3.51                      
  5 11-25-2023 Neutral L    16.91  60  70    1 202 ( 15- 18) Fresno St              -4.81     -5.19                      
  6 11-28-2023 Away    L    30.80  78  81 1  1 156 ( 21- 11) New Mexico              9.07    -12.07                      
  7 12-02-2023 Away    L    18.42  44  58    1 165 ( 15- 16) Loyola-Chicago         -3.31    -10.69                      
  8 12-05-2023 Away    W    28.97  79  67    1 327 (  6- 26) Bradley                 7.24      4.76                      
  9 12-07-2023 Home    W    26.68  67  55    1 298 (  9- 21) North Dakota            4.96      7.04                      
 10 12-09-2023 Away    L    15.73  67  81    1 196 ( 18- 15) Wright St              -6.00     -8.00                      
 11 12-15-2023 Home    L    17.43  52  59    1 197 ( 16- 16) WI Milwaukee           -4.30     -2.70                      
 12 12-18-2023 Away    L    14.76  55  65    1 251 ( 15- 16) Northern Illinois      -6.97     -3.03                      
 13 12-21-2023 Away    L    27.84  64  76    1 109 ( 15- 17) Wisconsin               6.11    -18.11                      
 14 12-29-2023 Away    W *  23.29  80  74    1 322 (  5- 26) SIUE                    1.56      4.44                      
 15 01-04-2024 Away    W *  29.73  72  70    1 225 ( 16- 17) TN Martin               8.01     -6.01                      
 16 01-06-2024 Away    L *  22.28  49  53    1 233 ( 12- 18) Ark Little Rock         0.55     -4.55                      
 17 01-11-2024 Home    L *  17.83  67  69    1 245 ( 15- 15) Morehead St            -3.89      1.89                      
 18 01-13-2024 Home    W    28.79  72  63    1 247 ( 18- 12) W Illinois              7.07      1.93                      
 19 01-20-2024 Away    W *  25.05  68  60    1 324 (  7- 21) Lindenwood              3.32      4.68                      
 20 01-25-2024 Home    W *  24.85  73  71    1 222 ( 16- 15) Tennessee Tech          3.12     -1.12                      
 21 01-27-2024 Home    W *  17.62  71  67 1  1 311 ( 11- 19) Tennessee St           -4.11      8.11                      
 22 02-01-2024 Home    L *   7.44  65  80    1 225 ( 16- 17) TN Martin             -14.29     -0.71                      
 23 02-03-2024 Home    L *  13.99  48  55    1 233 ( 12- 18) Ark Little Rock        -7.74      0.74                      
 24 02-08-2024 Away    L *  24.45  60  70    1 149 ( 25-  7) Southern Indiana        2.73    -12.73                      
 25 02-10-2024 Away    W *  27.13 105 103 4  1 245 ( 15- 15) Morehead St             5.40     -3.40                      
 26 02-15-2024 Home    W *  33.94  71  52    1 294 (  9- 20) SE Missouri St         12.21      6.79                      
 27 02-17-2024 Home    W *  17.75  68  62    1 324 (  7- 21) Lindenwood             -3.97      9.97                      
 28 02-22-2024 Away    W *  28.91  66  56    1 311 ( 11- 19) Tennessee St            7.19      2.81                      
 29 02-24-2024 Away    L *  26.14  73  75    1 222 ( 16- 15) Tennessee Tech          4.42     -6.42                      
 30 02-27-2024 Home    W *  25.99  80  66    1 322 (  5- 26) SIUE                    4.27      9.73                      
 31 02-29-2024 Away    L    15.08  54  64    1 247 ( 18- 12) W Illinois             -6.64     -3.36                      
 32 03-07-2024 Neutral W *  28.27  60  48    1 311 ( 11- 19) Tennessee St            6.54      5.46                      
 33 03-08-2024 Neutral L *  16.81  54  69    1 149 ( 25-  7) Southern Indiana       -4.92    -10.08                      
      Averages              21.73  65.7 67.8

Best game:   33.94 = 19 point win over SE Missouri St
Worst game:   7.44 = 15 point loss to TN Martin
Team stdev:   6.90